the little book of stock market cycles

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The Little Book Of Stock Market Cycles

Author : Jeffrey A. Hirsch
ISBN : 9781118283493
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 35. 49 MB
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Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.

The Little Book Of Market Myths

Author : Kenneth L. Fisher
ISBN : 9781118445006
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 84. 26 MB
Format : PDF, Kindle
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Exposes the truth about common investing myths and misconceptions and shows you how the truth shall set you free—to reap greater long-term and short-term gains Everybody knows that a strong dollar equals a strong economy, bonds are safer than stocks, gold is a safe investment and that high PEs signal high risk...right? While such "common-sense" rules of thumb may work for a time as investment strategies, as New York Times and Wall Street Journal bestselling author, Ken Fisher, vividly demonstrates in this wise, informative, wholly entertaining new book, they'll always let you down in the long run. Ken exposes some of the most common—and deadly—myths investors swear by, and he demonstrates why the rules-of-thumb approach to investing may be robbing you of the kinds returns you hope for. Dubbed by Investment Advisor magazine one of the 30 most influential individuals of the last three decades, Fisher is Chairman, and CEO of a global money management firm with over $32 billion under management Fisher's Forbes column, "Portfolio Strategy," has been an extremely popular fixture in Forbes for more than a quarter century thanks to his many high-profile calls Brings together the best "bunks" by Wall Street's Master Debunker in a fun, easy-to-digest, bite-size format More than just a list of myths, Fisher meticulously explains of why each commonly held belief or strategy is dead wrong and how damaging it can be to your financial health Armed with this book, investors can immediately identify major errors they may be committing and adjust their strategies for greater investing success

The Little Book Of Sideways Markets

Author : Vitaliy N. Katsenelson
ISBN : 111801037X
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 69. 47 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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"It's hard to talk clearly about investing and make sense to ordinary readers at the same time. Katsenelson gives a lucid explanation of today's markets with sound advice about how to make money while avoiding the traps that the market sets for exuberant bulls and frightened bears alike." — Thomas G. Donlan, Barron's "A thoroughly enjoyable read. Provides a clear framework for equity investing in today's ‘sideways' and volatile markets useful to everyone. Clear thinking and clear writing are not often paired - well done!" — Dick Weil, CEO, Janus Capital Group "The bible for how to invest in the most tumultuous financial market environment since the Great Depression. A true guidebook for how to build wealth prudently." — David Rosenberg, Chief Economist & Strategist, Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. "A wonderful, grounded read for new and seasoned investors alike, Katsenelson explains in plain English why volatility and sideways markets are a stock picker's best friend." — The Motley Fool, www.Fool.com Praise for Active Value Investing "This book reads like a conversation with Vitaliy: deep, insightful, inquisitive, and civilized." — Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan "Thoroughly enjoyable . . for the thoughtful and often entertaining way in which it is delivered. . . Katsenelson takes his reader step by step into the mind of the value investor by relating, in a fictional addendum to Fiddler on the Roof, the story of Tevye's purchase of Golde, the cow. He also describes his own big-time gambling evening (he was willing to lose a maximum of $40) and that of a half-drunken, rowdy fellow blackjack player to stress the importance of process. He then moves on to the fundamental principles of active value investing. What differentiates this book from so many others on value investing is that it describes, sometimes through the use of case studies, the thinking of a value investor. Not just his models or his metrics but his assessments. Katsenelson is an empiricist who weighs facts, looks for contraindications, and makes decisions. He makes value investing come alive. This may be a little book, but it's packed with insights for both novices and experienced investors. And it is a delight to read." —Seeking Alpha

The Little Book Of Commodity Investing

Author : John Stephenson
ISBN : 0470679344
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 74. 77 MB
Format : PDF, Kindle
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The world has changed and so too has investing. The market is shell shocked and yesterday's momentum stocks are today's slow-motion stocks. But in the new reality of low-growth investing, commodities are hot and getting hotter. A rapidly industrializing and urbanizing Asia will be demanding lots more copper, zinc, iron ore, coal, fertilizers, gold and oil to transform their societies. Commodities are it and that's great news for investors who want to profit from the next great bull market in commodities. In fact, commodities may be about the only asset class that is likely to outperform the broad market in the future. Although they are without a doubt important to the global economy, commodities are among the most misunderstood of all asset classes. Stocks, bonds and real estate all have legions of followers and plenty of experts agree on their importance within an investment portfolio, but venture into the world of commodities and you are into an area that's intimidating to the average investor, where suspicions run deep and understanding is limited. As a result, commodities get short-shrift in most investment accounts and investors miss out on some important opportunities. The Little Book of Commodity Investing is an indispensible guide to learning the ins and outs of commodity investing. It's about identifying opportunities to profit from the coming bull market in commodities. It explains the benefits of commodities as part of a well diversified investment portfolio; covers all of the major commodities markets; what makes commodities and the companies that produce them tick; why commodities sometimes zig and then zag; what to buy and when to buy it; and why commodities are the next big thing. Today's world is a very different world-a world where an understanding of commodities is a prerequisite for investment success. And The Little Book of Commodity Investing is the roadmap you need to discover where the opportunities of the future lie, and what to do about it.

The Little Book Of Trading

Author : Michael W. Covel
ISBN : 1118143884
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 31. 77 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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How to get past the crisis and make the market work for you again The last decade has left people terrified of even the safest investment opportunities. This fear is not helping would-be investors who could be making money if they had a solid plan. The Little Book of Trading teaches the average person rules and philosophies that winners use to beat the market, regardless of the financial climate. The market has always fluctuated, but savvy traders know how to make money in good times and bad. Drawing on author Michael Covel's own trading experience, as well as insights from legendary traders, the book offers sound, practical advice in an easy to understand, readily digestible way. The Little Book of Trading: Identifies tools, concepts, psychologies, and philosophies that keep people protected and making money when the next market bubble or surprise crisis occurs Features top traders in each chapter that have beaten the market for decades, providing readers with their moneymaking knowledge Shows how traders who beat mutual fund performance make money at different times, not just from stocks alone Most importantly, The Little Book of Trading explains why mutual funds should not be the investment vehicle of choice for people looking to secure retirement, a radical realization highlighting the changed face of investing today.

Stock Market Cycles

Author : Hirsch
ISBN : 1118692616
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 57. 72 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
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Jeff Hirsch, today's top expert on stock market cycles, presents his short-term and long-term market forecasts and describes how he uses cycles to help time the market. Editor of the venerable Stock Trader's Almanac, Hirsch reveals how to interpret stock market history to forecast future movements. He identifies major cycles, including: war and peace; secular bull and bear markets; presidential term cycles; and shorter term seasonal cycles. Given the confluence of cycles, Hirsch forecasts that the Dow Jones average will likely drop below 10,000 through late 2014. After a major rally and then another decline, he believes a secular bull market will emerge around 2018 which could drive the market up five-fold by 2025. Several factors will converge to create this stock market boom later in the decade, including: an end of the war on terror and a period of relative peace; prosperity fueled by an effective public/private economy; a new game-changing technology; and an updraft in inflation. While this forecast may seem extreme, Hirsch shows that it is consistent with past stock market behavior following World War II and the Vietnam War. Hirsch also discusses shorter term cycles, including the "Best Six Months Strategy," which has massively outperformed the overall market for many years as well as what to expect each year of the new presidential term. Viewers will learn: The hottest sectors to trade in during the next several years How the stock market performs each year of the presidential cycle Which are the best months to be in and the best months to be out of the stock market How the stock market performs across all Congressional/Presidential party alignments The likely path of the stock market through 2025 The Hirsch Organization has a long history of accurate forecasts and market-beating returns. In this video, Jeff Hirsch succinctly summarizes his approach and provides a road map to profiting in the market in the years ahead.

The Little Book Of Valuation

Author : Aswath Damodaran
ISBN : 1118064143
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 76. 90 MB
Format : PDF, Docs
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An accessible, and intuitive, guide to stock valuation Valuation is at the heart of any investment decision, whether that decision is to buy, sell, or hold. In The Little Book of Valuation, expert Aswath Damodaran explains the techniques in language that any investors can understand, so you can make better investment decisions when reviewing stock research reports and engaging in independent efforts to value and pick stocks. Page by page, Damodaran distills the fundamentals of valuation, without glossing over or ignoring key concepts, and develops models that you can easily understand and use. Along the way, he covers various valuation approaches from intrinsic or discounted cash flow valuation and multiples or relative valuation to some elements of real option valuation. Includes case studies and examples that will help build your valuation skills Written by Aswath Damodaran, one of today's most respected valuation experts Includes an accompanying iPhone application (iVal) that makes the lessons of the book immediately useable Written with the individual investor in mind, this reliable guide will not only help you value a company quickly, but will also help you make sense of valuations done by others or found in comprehensive equity research reports.

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